Friday, September 13, 2019

Like it's 1999.



As a follow-up to last month's discussion of a permanent base on the Moon, today we commemorate the tragic events of September 13, 1999, which saw the Moon permanently leave Earth's orbit following a catastrophic explosion at the nuclear waste disposal site located on the Moon's dark side.  Sadly, the 311 personnel of Moonbase Alpha were lost in the accident.


Of course, this is all in reference to Space 1999, a British-Italian* science fiction collaboration which debuted in 1975 and ran for two seasons.  The series was the culmination of a long series of increasingly sophisticated SF-action programming created by the legendary partnership of Gerry and Sylvia Anderson, who were best known for their Supermarionation** children's shows such as Fireball XL-5, Stingray, Thunderbirds and Captain Scarlet.  In 1960, they produced UFO, their first live action series, and wrote and produced a full length film, Journey to the Far Side of the Sun, in 1969.


Space 1999 offers what is probably the most detailed view of a lunar station in television or movies, and, in its way, it's a fairly well thought out view.  I rewatched the first episode as part of my research for this posting, and I have to say that it all seemed very logical in terms of how the base was set up.  I haven't seen any sort of preliminary plans for the permanent base planned as part of the Artemis program, but NASA could do worse than to take a look at Moonbase Alpha for ideas as to how to put together a lunar colony.


Alpha is made up of a combination of surface and underground structures arranged in an open wheel system, and split into four levels, most of which are underground.  The various sections of the base are connected by a network of travel tubes, which are rather like horizontal elevators.


For aerial transportation, they rely upon zero-G lifters – called Eagles** in homage to the Apollo 11 lander – which utilize a modular system to add medical, cargo or living space to the basic Eagle superstructure, a concept that the Andersons introduced in the Thunderbird series. In addition to surface landing stages and docking tunnels, the Eagle fleet is stored and maintained in underground hangars accessed by elevator platforms. Surface travel relies upon six-wheeled moon buggies and a variety of specialized vehicles.


The base, which is powered by four fast breeder fusion reactors and a solar energy plant, includes a hydroponics unit, research labs, recycling centre, two water purification plants, and a life support complex, all controlled from a central command section.  As is common with science fiction programs, Space: 1999 cheats the lunar gravity situation, in this case through artificial gravity generators that somehow create Earth-normal gravity within the base. (To the credit of the Andersons, they do their best to mimic the effects of lower gravity in outside surface shots.)


Personnel arriving on the base are provided with a commlock, a hand-held device that locks and unlocks doors, as well as acting as a communications device.  In addition, the base is equipped with communications posts, which contain internal communicators, clocks, and data displays.

Space: 1999 is also an unlikely cautionary tale regarding the potential use of the Moon as a dump for hazardous materials.  In the first episode, unknown radiation causes a massive nuclear waste disposal area to reach critical mass, resulting in a massive explosion that propels the Moon out of its orbit and out of the solar system. Ignoring the practicalities of shipping huge amounts of nuclear waste to the Moon, it’s certainly a strong argument for a self-sustaining base: you certainly wouldn’t want that sort of thing to happen if you were still relying on weekly food shipments from Earth.

- Sid

* I gather that, to the educated eye, the base's decor is a catalogue of modern Italian furniture design.

** If you're not familiar with the camp appeal of the Supermarionation shows, you really need to see it to believe it.  YouTube™ is full of examples.

*** There’s also a militarized version called the Hawk.

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Heroes.


 

The Amazing Spider-Man #36 - one of the most heartfelt tributes to 9-11, from people who knew what heroes were when they saw them.

 

- Sid

Saturday, August 31, 2019

Sic transit gloria mundi.


 

My wife Karli has had glorious pink and purple* hair for the last few months, a look which suits her so well that people frequently comment that it looks like her natural hair colour.

However, all things come with a price, and in the case of glorious hair, it's time spent at the hairdresser.  Because people tend to chat during things like hair colouring, Karli has discovered that Chenoa, her hairdresser at Field Trip Hair,**, is a fantasy fan, and in turn Karli has revealed that I'm a science fiction and fantasy fan (with the emphasis on science fiction.)

When Karli mentioned that she'd discussed my hobby with Chenoa, I casually wondered if she'd read Joe Abercrombie's darkly entertaining First Law trilogy, or any of the other related novels set in the same world.  Karli passed this along via text, and I gather that Mr. Abercrombie's name came as a bit of a surprise as a fantasy option - which in turn surprised me a bit.

The moral of the story is that just because someone like Abercrombie is part of the contemporary fantasy marketplace, that doesn't guarantee that everyone will know about them.  I myself became aware of Abercrombie while browsing in a Waterstones book store in London in 2011, and although his first book had been published in 2006, that was the first time I'd heard of him.

Just out of curiousity, I took at look at Amazon.ca, and to my surprise it wasn't easy to find most of my favourite fantasy novels.  If you sort by Average Customer Review*** Harry Potter shows up first, not a huge surprise, but there's only a token nod to Game of Thrones with an audiobook on the first page of results, and you won't see The Lord of the Rings until page 2.

Neil Gaiman and the late Terry Pratchett, arguably two of the best fantasy authors of the last 25 years or so, don't make an appearance until page 5, and the actual Game of Thrones books don't show up until page 8.  The collected Narnia books are on page 10, and Ursula K. Le Guin's critically acclaimed Earthsea series is MIA until page 11.  Even Conan the Barbarian doesn't make the cut until page 15.  I stopped looking after 25 pages of results - and I never did see anything by Joe Abercrombie.

It really does illustrate the fleeting nature of literary fame - in a way, it's very much like the music scene.

Musical acts come and go, and whereas a group might hit big for a period of time, if they stop releasing songs, their fame diminishes.  And even if they're still producing, that doesn't mean that everyone will be familiar with their music.  Some groups - the Beatles, the Rolling Stones, and so on - leave a large enough mark that their songs survive their era and become classics, whereas other groups have their moment in the sun, and then end up on the Golden Oldies station, unknown to the next generation of listeners.****

I'm still a little surprised, though.  There are a LOT of authors that weren't on the search results that I would have expected to have some kind of ongoing readership.  I'm not talking about the classic authors from the end of the 19th century and start of the 20th - you need a bit of a scholarly outlook to discover Lord Dunsany, A. Merritt or E. R. Eddison, or even authors from the mid-20th century like Mervyn Peake and his flawed but brilliantly written Gormenghast series -  but the writers I was reading when I started buying books in the 1970s.


Where's Michael Moorcock?  He first introduced the character of Elric, his haunted albino kinslayer, in 1961, and his books regarding Elric and the rest of the Eternal Champion characters such as ErekosĂ«, Corum Jhaelen Irsei, and Dorian Hawkmoon are considered to be classics.  The same with Fritz Leiber's Fafhrd and the Grey Mouser stories, which he started writing in the 1930s but I was able to purchase in collected form in the 70s.  I've already mentioned Ursula K. Le Guin and her first Earthsea trilogy from the late 60s and early 70s, which I suspect have won every award there is - and they still didn't show up on Amazon.ca until page 11. 
 
The challenging Thomas Covenant series hit the fantasy industry like a bomb in 1977, but, unlike Star Wars: A New Hope, which also debuted that year, apparently Stephen Donaldson's work hasn't retained its fame. The Thomas Covenant books are described as "demanding" in The Encyclopedia of Fantasy, and it's hard to improve on that description, but Donaldson's flawed, bitter protagonist broke completely new ground in the genre.  Patricia McKillip's clever and lyrical Riddlemaster of Hed series from the same era is equally unique, if less deconstructionist, but may actually be out of print at this point.

I feel I could sit here and list authors and books all day - Garth Nix's Sabriel,  K. J. Parker (Tom Holt in disguise), Tad Williams, Canadian author Guy Gavriel Kay and his breakout Fionvar Tapestry series from the 80s, Karl Edward Wagner's Kane stories, Charles De Lint (also Canadian), Mary Stewart's historical fantasy, and so on - and no sign of them in terms of public recognition on Amazon, which I think is more than a little sad.  It's a shame there isn't some equivalent of the aforementioned Golden Oldies radio stations to keep the classics in the public eye.

I think it would be fun to sit down and have a conversation with Chenoa about some of these books, but I don't think that's likely to happen - we only know her professionally, and as you can tell from photos of me that that have appeared here, I'm not exactly in need of a lengthy visit to a hairdresser.

- Sid


* Highlights have varied from aqua to caramel.

** Unsolicited endorsement:  Chenoa does great work.  If you live in the greater Vancouver area and you're thinking about getting coloured hair, she is definitely the person you want to see.

*** Amazon's Sort By feature has always made me a bit crazy.  Why is there no ALPHABETICAL ORDER BY AUTHOR - how hard would that be?  It's the way brick and mortar stores do it, how bad would it be to be able to do that online?

**** This is an interesting analogy, because it also acknowledges the way in which styles and preferences change over time.  Some people listen to a wide range of music, whereas other people will be stuck in the 80s forever.  Using this approach, J.R.R. Tolkien is Beethoven, and George R.R. Martin is...Metallica, perhaps?  Freddy Mercury?  No, I think that maybe Michael Moorcock is Freddy...hmmm...I'll have to give this some more thought.

Monday, August 19, 2019

"Soon I'm gonna be a Jedi...soon I'm gonna be a Jedi."

 A long long time ago
In a galaxy far away
Naboo was under an attack
And I thought me and Qui-Gon Jinn
Could talk the Federation in
To maybe cutting them a little slack
But their response, it didn't thrill us
They locked the doors and tried to kill us
We escaped from that gas
Then met Jar Jar and Boss Nass
We took a bongo from the scene
And we went to Theed to see the queen
We all wound up on Tatooine
That's where we found this boy...
Oh my my, this here Anakin guy
May be Vader someday later - now he's just a small fry
And he left his home and kissed his mommy goodbye
Sayin' "Soon I'm gonna be a Jedi"
"Soon I'm gonna be a Jedi."
Weird Al Yankovic, The Saga Begins. 

Tonight, Weird Al, live in concert, performing The Saga Begins.

It's the little things that make life worth living...thanks again to Karli for buying the tickets as a Christmas gift!

- Sid

P.S. For those of you unfamiliar with Mr. Yankovic's musical retelling of The Phantom Menace plotline, the official music video can be found at:


Saturday, August 17, 2019

Better late than never?


 

Okay, so here's the story:  in May of 2007, I was working on a blog posting about absurd fictional representations of spacesuits, and I was trying to find a particular image that I remembered from the cover of a science fiction pulp magazine that my mother had owned when I was young, an image that was in many ways the epitome of ridiculous space outfits for women.  As you might imagine, that's not a lot of information, but even so, you'd think that searching for "science fiction magazine green spacesuit" might result in some reference to the artwork in question.  I also used the far more sensible approach of asking my sister Dorothy if she remembered the publication in question.

Sadly, no luck - neither search engine nor sibling produced an answer.


OVER TWELVE YEARS LATER...the original artwork by Kelly Freas pops up on the Heritage Auctions site, with the note that it appeared on the cover of the August 1957 edition of Super Science Fiction.

Well, now we know - but man, talk about the long game...

- Sid

Wednesday, August 14, 2019

"I am...inevitable."


 

Last night I attended a Langara College-sponsored presentation on the award-winning special effects process behind the character of Thanos in the Avengers: Infinity War and Endgame movies. The event was presented by Jan Philip Cramer, the Head of Animation for Digital Domain, whose resumé includes films such as Ender's Game, Days of Future Past, Spider-Man: Homecoming and Avatar.


It wasn't a terribly technical evening, more of a commercial for Langara's new Centre for Entertainment Arts, mixed in with anecdotes about the production process for Thanos (along with advice for digital animation students regarding how to put together their show reels), but Cramer did provide a fascinating overview of the combination of acting, motion capture and programming that resulted in the menacing on-screen character of Thanos the mad Titan.


Cramer's well-delivered presentation made me aware of two aspects of the latest Avengers movies that I hadn't really thought about while watching them.  First, the degree of ease with which I accepted Thanos as a person, rather than a special effects creation. Thanos is a skilful blending of Josh Brolin's motion-capture performance and the astonishing digital effects work done by Cramer's team, resulting in a nuanced, emotional, physical presence on screen.

 

Their approach to both body and facial motion capture produced a digital character who was then seamlessly integrated with the live-action performances, although, really, in this case it's more a question of integrating the live actors into the digital realm.

 

Second, the breakdown of the digital process was a stark* reminder as to the degree to which Endgame does not exist, or rather exists only in the form of terabytes and terabytes of code stored on a rack mounted server somewhere**, rather than in the form of video recordings of actual sets and performances.


It's a tribute to the art of acting - or perhaps just plain make-believe - that the actual actors were able to create performances where the other characters, the scenery, and even the props and costumes were added later in the process.  As Sir Ian McKellen sadly discovered during the shooting of the first Hobbit film, it's a lonely job when it's just you, thirteen photos of your fellow actors on sticks, and a green screen.

- Sid

* No pun intended.

** And presumably very well backed up, let's not forgot the cautionary tale of how nearly all of the Toy Story 2 files were deleted, and they were only able to complete the film because one of the animators had a copy of the files that they had been using to work from home.

Sunday, August 11, 2019

"FRAGILE - that must be Italian!"


 
Hey Sid, I was wondering if you, as a collector of SF stuff, would be interested in my Star Trek mugs? Yours for the asking. Also I have two Dr. Who bobbleheads (Dr's 10 and 11?) who might like to join the migration (can't remember if you got any of those). Let me know. 
- Colin
Recently my friend Colin found himself facing a problem that we've all at some point in our lives:  too many possessions, not enough room.  As part of his solution, he regretfully decided to clean house, figuratively and literally, and divest himself of a few tchotchkes whose day had come and gone.

But what to do with the culled items?  Deciding that donating them to the Salvation Army would be an ignominious conclusion to their years of service, he decided to contact me and ask if I'd be interested in adopting some SF-related pieces, as per the introductory excerpt.

I declined the two Doctor Who bobbleheads, since Colin had actually given me a set of 10 and 11 for my birthday in 2016, but cheerfully (and gratefully) offered to take the other items off his hands. 

 

The Star Trek line of collector's mugs were distributed by now-defunct novelty manufacturer Applause Inc. Their initial 1994 release featured Kirk, Spock, and McCoy from the original Star Trek series; Data, Worf, Crusher, Troi, La Forge and a Borg from The Next Generation, Odo, Quark and a Cardassian from Deep Space Nine, and Neelix from Voyager, which suggests that Colin did his shopping early in the release cycle.  Q and the alien Gorn were added to the lineup in 1996, and in 1997 they were joined by Sisko, Jadzia Dax, Janeway and a Kazon from the Delta Quadrant. (Oddly enough, Jean-Luc Picard does not seem to have made the cut for porcelain immortality.)

Applause, which opened its doors in 1966, was noted for a wide range of licensed pop culture items, but declared bankruptcy in 2004,* thereby making their themed mugs even more collectable. (Sadly, Colin's mugs aren't completely mint, it's hard to own a mug for 25 years without a mark or two, but I am no less pleased to have them.)  I don't know if their choice of products had any bearing on their eventual corporate downfall -  the whole idea of head-shaped mugs seems a bit strange, and, honestly, they're not very practical for morning coffee, they're ridiculously difficult to clean.

The astute observer will have noticed that one of the mugs in the photo is in fact from Doctor Who rather than Star Trek, an unexpected bonus item.

 

Similarly, there was also a Weeping Angel bobblehead from Doctor Who, which my wife apparently does NOT want to unexpectedly find snarling at her from inside the medicine cabinet when she's sleepily getting ready for work in the morning.

Now, ironically, I face the same problem that prompted Colin in the first place - all I have to do is to find room for my new acquisitions in my already overcrowded second bedroom/library/study.  Well, as they say on Star Trek, space IS the final frontier...

- Sid

* Following the death of its CEO, who committed suicide when it became obvious that the company was not going to survive - I have to say that this is unexpectedly dark for research results on a company that made head-shaped mugs. 

Saturday, August 10, 2019

Moss piglets in spaaaaaaaace!

(With apologies to The Muppet Show.)

 

It's a little fascinating when something pops up in my current events news feed that actually resolves unanswered questions from Star Trek - life imitating art, as it were.

Apparently back in April, Israel Aerospace Industry's Beresheet* lunar mission crashed-landed on the Moon.  Along with a sample of human blood and a 30-million page archive of human history, the probe contained several thousand microscopic tardigrades, also known as water bears or moss piglets, one of the toughest organisms in existence.**  Tardigrades have already proven that they are capable of surviving exposure to space, and in this case they were dehydrated - which placed them in a state of suspended animation - and then protectively encased in artificial amber.

 


Fast forward 237 years**, and boom, we have a captive giant space tardigrade manipulating space using the mycelial network spore drive on the USS Discovery.  Well, at least now we know why it's a tardigrade - the next question is how it got to be so damned BIG.

 - Sid 

* Hebrew for "In a beginning" - the first word of the Torah.

** If you're wondering why any of this would be on a moon mission , there's a group called the Arch Mission Foundation that wanted to create a backup of Terran lifeforms, history and knowledge. 

*** According to the Memory Alpha Star Trek database, the events of Season One of Discovery take place between 2256-2258 AD.




Sunday, August 4, 2019

"Galactica in the library with the lead pipe."


 

Being a science fiction fan means that sometimes when you're reading a book, you wonder if the spaceship is just pretending to be one of the good guys and is secretly the villain.
- Sid

P.S.  In this case I'm reading Velocity Weapon by Megan E. O'Keefe, but come to think of it, it could just as easily be Arthur C. Clarke's 2001:  A Space Odyssey.

P.P.S.  My god, apparently I'm brilliant - the spaceship IS the bad guy!  Sort of.

Saturday, August 3, 2019

Well, they're not wrong.



Some time ago I posted a complaint about the moving target of U.S. versus Canadian book pricing, back in 2007 when the Canadian dollar was actually the highest it's ever been in comparison to the US dollar.

Sadly, a return visit to Village Books in Fairhaven, Washington revealed that some bright spark in the publishing industry has found a solution to the whole problem of exchange rates and people like me who might actually do the math to compare the prices.

- Sid

Monday, July 29, 2019

"Major Matt Mason: Moon Mission!"


 
All Major Matt Mason's equipment is based on official space program designs. This equipment must help him deal with violent temperature extremes, radiation, meteorites, and strange, rough terrain.
- Mattel's Major Matt Mason catalog
Obviously science fiction is full of examples of bases, settlements and cities on the Moon, but let's demonstrate a little brand loyalty, and take a look at how my favourite astronaut does it, as laid out in my battered Major Matt Mason Big Little Book*, Moon Mission - published in 1968, the year before the Apollo 11 moon landing.

First, I'd like to comment on how relatively mature the story actually is - the Whitman Big Little Books were aimed at a pre-teen age group, but the plot of Moon Mission doesn't come across as notably juvenile.

 

Second, I'm pleased that the cast of characters includes Jo Ann Harvey, a female astronaut who is a psychiatrist - pretty advanced stuff for 1968, but then, the original lineup of Major Matt Mason action figures included an African-American astronaut, Lieutenant Jeff Long, a concept which was literally the stuff of science fiction** in the late 60s.


Unlike the current toy market, which relies heavily on movies, TV shows and comic books as source material for action figures, the Major Matt Mason line had no narrative to support it, which gave author George S. Elrick a free hand to create his story of missing lunar explorers, moon worms, mind-invading alien life forms***, and giant space bunnies. His sole stricture was probably the need to include as many of the Major Matt Mason toys and accessories as possible, and to be honest, the brand placement isn't overwhelming.


It's interesting to speculate as to whether or not any of these toys would actually be feasible as real-world equipment, regardless of Mattel's claim that they were based on "official space program designs". Obviously, tread-based transporters like the Cat Trac or the Unitred would work, but would the multi-legged Space Crawler, just off centre to the right in the image above, be a practical all-terrain vehicle?  Would the Jet Propulsion Pak, Space Sled or Reconojet provide enough lift for flight in 1/6 gravity?

In the book, the Major's lunar base is underground, but there's an impression that it's only temporary.  The story mentions an earlier mission that had left markers and constructed foundations for power plants and permanent habitats, and one of the characters looks over the construction site where "skilled work crews" are building those habitats, then pays a visit to the hydroponic farming facility.

 

There are admittedly some doubtful scientific aspects to the story:  ignoring whether or not you could (or should) bioengineer giants rabbits to survive on the moon, they wouldn't be sniffing things in vacuum - at least not successfully - and the effects of minimal lunar gravity are pretty much ignored.  Not only that, but Elrick seems to consider vacuum as being relative in the same way that temperature is, in that the further you are from the opening to a cave, the more air there will be, whereas I'm reasonably confident that if you're in a cave that's open to the vacuum, you're in a vacuum, period.

However, I may just not be the right target audience for giant moon bunnies.  It's entirely possible that if you pitched the idea to the current American executive branch, the Moon base schedule might quickly hop forward, so to speak.

- Sid

* Whitman Publishing first produced the Big Little Books line in the 1930s.  They were about 3.5 x 5 inches in size, and about an inch thick, depending on content.  The product line went through a variety of changes over time - my Big Little Book was part of their television and comic book themed lineup that was published from 1967 to 1969.

** Most notably in the character of Lieutenant Uhura from the original Star Trek series, as played by the legendary Nichelle Nichols, who also participated in the first interracial kiss on network television with Captain Kirk.
 
*** But not in a bad way.
 

Sunday, July 28, 2019

Does "moonies" still have negative connotations?


"Well...we're Loonies."
Robert A. Heinlein, The Moon is a Harsh Mistress
In the fullness of time, when there's a permanent habitat on the lunar surface, we'll need to come up with some kind of colloquial term for people who live on the Moon.  Sad that "loonie" is already taken for the Canadian one-dollar coin, although we may be willing to share that under the right circumstances.

- Sid
 

Friday, July 26, 2019

Giant Steps II: We Built this City.



In the previous posting, we looked at the basic aspects of constructing a permanent sustainable moonbase, and the reasons for such a base.  Now let's give some thought to how such a base would be designed, and the question of how we would go about actually building it.

Over the years, science fiction illustrators have happily drawn countless variations on the concept of a domed Moon city and there's a certain logic to the idea:  the idea scales well, from small to large, air pressure holds the dome up, it would be relatively easy to transport, and relatively easy to erect.  However, the down side of the dome is its relative fragility - on Earth, having a 20 pound chunk of metallic meteor punch through the roof is newsworthy.  On the Moon, it would be fatal.


It makes more sense to create a modular system, something that will require more time to put together, but which will be safer and more practical in the long run.  Modularity is a good thing - if there's a blowout in one module for whatever reason, you can hopefully seal off that module and maintain the integrity of the remainder of your habitat.

One option is to design some kind of standardized unit, a combination of cargo container and pre-fab housing, so that once they were landed on the Moon and emptied of supplies, they could be daisy-chained together with access corridors or air locks to create a sort of temporary trailer park.  As work went on, the modules could disconnected one at a time and buried or covered to provide protection from solar radiation.

NASA seems to be thinking more in terms of on-site construction, based on the concept of In Situ Resource Utilization, or ISRU, for short.  Research has been done into using lunar dust as a building material, a sort of moon concrete, possibly using sulphur* rather than water as a binding agent.  The resulting material would be used to build walls and foundations using a process like 3-D printing.


However, there are two very practical aspects of this process that have nothing to do with the design of the base, and everything to do with the actual process of building it:  personnel and resources.

Until now, space travel has been a game of elites, with two or three astronauts at a time being trained and then dispatched into space.  But the practicalities of building a Moon base would require dozens if not hundreds of people, people who will need to be transported to the lunar surface, where they will require spacesuits suited for the rigors of construction. They will need a place to live while they build a place to live. They will need food, water and oxygen, not to mention tools and materials.  They will need training so that they can perform their duties in an environment that will punish mistakes with death, and they will need to create an entirely new building process as they go.

Is this excessive?  Do we really need more people than the standard three-person NASA crew to build our base on the Moon?  That depends - what's our timeline for completion?  For that matter, what's our baseline?  How long does it take to build things on Earth?

In 1930, it took 3,400 people 410 days to build the Empire State Building, which is apparently very fast for a structure of that magnitude.  However, we're probably a long way away from skyscrapers on the Moon.  At the other end of the spectrum, it takes between three and six months to build a standard home, although the internet suggests timelines as long as 16 months for a custom structure - in other words, longer than the Empire State Building, but let's be fair, you're looking at a lot less than 3,400 workers.

Regardless, both of those examples are being built in an oxygen atmosphere, with standard gravity, and everything you could possibly need no further away than the closest Home Depot.  It also involves cranes, fork lifts, excavators, and bulldozers, and a specialized labour force of welders, masons, framers, dry wallers, roofers, plumbers and electricians working on it - not to mention painters, tile setters and cabinet makers.


The International Space Station is probably a better example. The ISS is made up of 16 modules:  nine American, four Russian, two Japanese, and one European, with a Soyuz attached for use as a lifeboat.  Construction on the ISS started in 1998, with the launch of the American Zarya module. Forty missions, 36 of which were Space Shuttle launches, were required to put all of the station's elements into orbit, with a two and a half year hiatus after the Columbia disaster in 2003. The final element was added in 2016, adding up to an 18-year construction program.**

What's the equivalent timeline for a base on the moon?  It only takes eight or nine minutes to get into orbit, as opposed to the three-day trip to the Moon, and I haven't seen any evidence of a planned equivalent to the Space Shuttle that will be able to act as a heavy lift cargo transporter. (The cancelled Obama-era Constellation program included plans for a heavy-lift cargo module, the Altair, which would have been capable of transporting six tons of cargo and four astronauts to the Moon's surface - NASA might want to look at pulling those specifications out of storage.)


The astronauts assembling the ISS also had the advantage of zero gravity, and tools like the Canadarm that streamlined the process.

Logic says that in the case of a lunar base, it will have to rely on prefabricated building elements of some sort, but even then, it will require some kind of heavy equipment on the Moon in order to create foundations, dig holes, and move the pieces into place.  The alternative is, of course, smaller pieces, but the smaller the pieces the more assembly and connection is required, and we're back to our crew of specialists.

The bottom line is that NASA actually has complete control over the timeline.  If the US government supports it, they have the expertise to create the necessary tools and processes, and there will be a significant base on the Moon by the planned date of 2028.  But really, NASA doesn't need to do any of this to meet that target.  They could just drop the equivalent of a Airstream trailer onto the Moon's surface, and voilĂ , we have a permanent Moon base, done. But is that really enough?  Could this be the moment that history will look back upon as the real beginning of our expansion from Earth into the solar system?

For a long time, NASA was as much a political tool as anything else, but over time it's evolved into the scientific enterprise that it should always have been.  Now it's time to apply the results of its research to the practical aspects of man living in space. The next step in their evolution is here: let's hope that they - and the government that supports them - are up to the task.

The first generation of astronauts was made up of risk takers: test pilots, ex-military fliers, people whose experience lay in performing in life-threatening situations.  The second generation needed scientists, people who could perform experiments and conduct research.

The third generation will need to change again.  Creating a permanent presence on the Moon will require builders: engineers, geologists, safety specialists, construction experts, people who can pave the way for the permanent residents of the fourth generation: the colonists.

- Sid

* No, seriously, this is an actual thing:  


Now you know what they did with those samples that the Apollo astronauts collected from the surface of the Moon, although in some cases experiments have been conducted with moon soil "simulants" based on analysis of actual moon dust, rather than the real thing.

** There are still a couple of planned modules to be added, and eight other modules were cancelled, but the station is obviously in operation in its current configuration.